Sunday, March 7, 2010

Oscars Gone Wrong!

On the other side of the coin we have Awards Daily's contest to see who can not predict the winners, the best. http://www.awardsdaily.com/Contests/oscarswrong.php

Best Picture: A Serious Man CORRECT
Best Director: Jason Reitman CORRECT
Best Actor: Morgan Freeman CORRECT
Best Actress: Helen Mirren CORRECT
Best Supporting Actor: Stanley Tucci CORRECT
Best Supporting Actress: Penelope Cruz CORRECT
Best Adapted Screenplay: In the Loop CORRECT
Best Original Screenplay: The Messenger CORRECT
Best Animated Film: The Princess and the Frog CORRECT
Best Documentary Film: Burma VJ CORRECT
Best Foreign Language Film: Ajami CORRECT
Best Art Direction: Sherlock Holmes CORRECT
Best Cinematography: Harry Potter CORRECT
Best Costume Design: Nine CORRECT
Best Film Editing: District 9 CORRECT
Best Makeup: Il Divo CORRECT
Best Original Score: Sherlock Holmes CORRECT
Best Original Song: "Loin de Paname CORRECT
Best Sound Editing: Inglourious Basterds CORRECT
Best Sound Mixing: Inglourious Basterds CORRECT
Best Visual Effects: Star Trek CORRECT
Best Short Film (Animated): French Roast CORRECT
Best Short Film (Documentary): Rabbit a la Berlin CORRECT
Best Short Film (Live Action): The Door CORRECT

If I don't lose all of these, I'll be pissed. Love it.

Final Oscar Predictions

Nary an hour before the journey begins...

Best Picture: The Hurt Locker CORRECT

I'll go with a telling statistic here: no movie has won best picture without a screenplay or acting nomination since the 30s (or something like that). My gut is that the predictable Oscar season will continue.

Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker CORRECT

Locked up

Best Actor:
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart CORRECT

Locked up

Best Actress: Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side CORRECT

Another statistic, thanks to Scott Feinberg: no woman has won the Oscar after losing the Golden Globe and the SAG (bye bye Mirren, Sidibe, and Mulligan) and then only 4 women have won the Oscar after losing the SAG and winning a Golden Globe. Knowledge!

Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds CORRECT

Locked up

Best Supporting Actress: Mo'Nique, Precious CORRECT

Beyond locked up

Best Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air WRONG

Gotta win something.

Best Original Screenplay: Inglourious Basterds WRONG

Basically a coin flip. Tarantino is more wordy while the Academy might be ready to give The Hurt Locker a sweep. Game time decision. Maybe they've gotta give Tarantino something, right?

Best Animated Film: Up CORRECT

Despite my love for the Fox.

Best Documentary Film: The Cove CORRECT

Don't kill dolphins!

Best Foreign Language Film: The White Ribbon WRONG

Another toss up. Secret in Their Eyes apparently had the better Academy screening while The White Ribbon does have a cinematography trump nomination. And on top of it all, A Prophet has momentum from BAFTA. Another game time decision. I'll go with the previous cinematography win for The White Ribbon as indicative of consensus here.

Best Art Direction: Avatar CORRECT

Locksies

Best Cinematography: Avatar CORRECT

Consensus would say the 2 billion dollar movie will take it but once again, never underestimate the Academy's sweep giving tendencies.

Best Costume Design: The Young Victoria CORRECT

Period predictability!

Best Film Editing: The Hurt Locker CORRECT

Fairly certain here. Avatar could steal but The Hurt Locker oozes edited suspense.

Best Makeup: Star Trek CORRECT

Yeah I guess?

Best Original Score: Up CORRECT

The guy from Lost gets his due!

Best Original Song:
"The Weary Kind" Bingham and Burnett CORRECT

Oh I miss the days when T-Bone Streep patrolled the awards podium.

Best Sound Editing: Avatar WRONG

I'd be smarter to double down here rather than trying to guess right for either one but whatevs. Noise wins this category.

Best Sound Mixing: The Hurt Locker CORRECT

Apparently, the subtlety of The Hurt Locker wins here? Sure.

Best Visual Effects: Avatar CORRECT

Natch

Best Short Film (Animated): A Matter of Loaf and Death WRONG

Wallace and Gromitttttt!

Best Short Film (Documentary): The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant WRONG

This one is all over the place. We've got the time relevant one against a couple of weepies. I have no idea. Going with consensus so I'll look like a fool along with everyone else.

Best Short Film (Live Action): Instead of Abracadabra WRONG

Another one I don't know about. This one's got quirkiness which could win for once. Wouldn't be surprised if Miracle Fish or The New Tenants won though.

17 out of 24. Meh.