Best Picture: The Hurt Locker CORRECT
I'll go with a telling statistic here: no movie has won best picture without a screenplay or acting nomination since the 30s (or something like that). My gut is that the predictable Oscar season will continue.
Locked up
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart CORRECT
Locked up
Best Actress: Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side CORRECT
Another statistic, thanks to Scott Feinberg: no woman has won the Oscar after losing the Golden Globe and the SAG (bye bye Mirren, Sidibe, and Mulligan) and then only 4 women have won the Oscar after losing the SAG and winning a Golden Globe. Knowledge!
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds CORRECT
Locked up
Best Supporting Actress: Mo'Nique, Precious CORRECT
Beyond locked up
Best Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air WRONG
Gotta win something.
Best Original Screenplay: Inglourious Basterds WRONG
Basically a coin flip. Tarantino is more wordy while the Academy might be ready to give The Hurt Locker a sweep. Game time decision. Maybe they've gotta give Tarantino something, right?
Best Animated Film: Up CORRECT
Despite my love for the Fox.
Best Documentary Film: The Cove CORRECT
Don't kill dolphins!
Best Foreign Language Film: The White Ribbon WRONG
Another toss up. Secret in Their Eyes apparently had the better Academy screening while The White Ribbon does have a cinematography trump nomination. And on top of it all, A Prophet has momentum from BAFTA. Another game time decision. I'll go with the previous cinematography win for The White Ribbon as indicative of consensus here.
Locksies
Best Cinematography: Avatar CORRECT
Consensus would say the 2 billion dollar movie will take it but once again, never underestimate the Academy's sweep giving tendencies.
Best Costume Design: The Young Victoria CORRECT
Period predictability!
Best Film Editing: The Hurt Locker CORRECT
Fairly certain here. Avatar could steal but The Hurt Locker oozes edited suspense.
Best Makeup: Star Trek CORRECT
Yeah I guess?
The guy from Lost gets his due!
Best Original Song: "The Weary Kind" Bingham and Burnett CORRECT
Oh I miss the days when T-Bone Streep patrolled the awards podium.
Best Sound Editing: Avatar WRONG
I'd be smarter to double down here rather than trying to guess right for either one but whatevs. Noise wins this category.
Best Sound Mixing: The Hurt Locker CORRECT
Apparently, the subtlety of The Hurt Locker wins here? Sure.
Best Visual Effects: Avatar CORRECT
Natch
Best Short Film (Animated): A Matter of Loaf and Death WRONG
Wallace and Gromitttttt!
Best Short Film (Documentary): The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant WRONG
This one is all over the place. We've got the time relevant one against a couple of weepies. I have no idea. Going with consensus so I'll look like a fool along with everyone else.
Best Short Film (Live Action): Instead of Abracadabra WRONG
Another one I don't know about. This one's got quirkiness which could win for once. Wouldn't be surprised if Miracle Fish or The New Tenants won though.
17 out of 24. Meh.
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